Actual vs. Expected Dumbbell
Who is outperforming repeatable play?
Expected record, luck and historical gapsChampionships, streaks, scoring peaks, defensive dominance and the strangest team marks in the sport.
| 1 | Indiana | 2025 | BIG TEN | 16 | 0 | 100.0% | 41.6 | 11.7 | 456.3 | 266.0 |
| 2 | Michigan | 2023 | BIG TEN | 15 | 0 | 100.0% | 35.9 | 10.4 | 382.7 | 246.9 |
| 3 | Georgia | 2022 | SEC | 15 | 0 | 100.0% | 41.1 | 14.3 | 501.1 | 296.8 |
| 4 | LSU | 2019 | SEC | 15 | 0 | 100.0% | 48.4 | 21.9 | 568.4 | 343.5 |
| 5 | Clemson | 2018 | ACC | 15 | 0 | 100.0% | 44.3 | 13.1 | 530.7 | 285.9 |
| 6 | Florida State | 2013 | ACC | 14 | 0 | 100.0% | 51.6 | 12.1 | 522.8 | 281.9 |
| 7 | Auburn | 2010 | SEC | 14 | 0 | 100.0% | 41.2 | 24.1 | 500.3 | 368.4 |
| 8 | Alabama | 2009 | SEC | 14 | 0 | 100.0% | 32.1 | 11.7 | 409.1 | 244.6 |
| 9 | Georgia | 2021 | SEC | 14 | 1 | 93.3% | 38.6 | 10.2 | 442.8 | 268.5 |
| 10 | Clemson | 2019 | ACC | 14 | 1 | 93.3% | 43.9 | 13.5 | 528.7 | 288.3 |
| 11 | Alabama | 2018 | SEC | 14 | 1 | 93.3% | 45.6 | 18.1 | 521.9 | 319.5 |
| 12 | Alabama | 2016 | SEC | 14 | 1 | 93.3% | 38.8 | 13.0 | 455.3 | 261.8 |
| 13 | Clemson | 2016 | ACC | 14 | 1 | 93.3% | 39.2 | 18.0 | 503.7 | 311.5 |
| 14 | Alabama | 2015 | SEC | 14 | 1 | 93.3% | 35.1 | 15.1 | 428.1 | 277.3 |
| 15 | Clemson | 2015 | ACC | 14 | 1 | 93.3% | 38.5 | 21.7 | 517.8 | 314.3 |
| 16 | Ohio State | 2014 | BIG TEN | 14 | 1 | 93.3% | 44.8 | 22.0 | 515.0 | 342.5 |
| 17 | Ohio State | 2024 | BIG TEN | 14 | 2 | 87.5% | 35.7 | 12.9 | 429.6 | 254.8 |
| 18 | Alabama | 2020 | SEC | 13 | 0 | 100.0% | 48.5 | 19.4 | 541.1 | 353.0 |
| 19 | Oregon | 2024 | BIG TEN | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 34.9 | 19.4 | 437.8 | 316.1 |
| 20 | Florida State | 2023 | ACC | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 34.6 | 19.3 | 400.7 | 331.9 |
| 21 | Georgia | 2023 | SEC | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 40.1 | 15.6 | 496.4 | 289.2 |
| 22 | Michigan | 2022 | BIG TEN | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 40.4 | 16.1 | 458.7 | 292.1 |
| 23 | Ohio State | 2019 | BIG TEN | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 46.9 | 13.7 | 529.9 | 259.7 |
| 24 | Ohio State | 2018 | BIG TEN | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 42.4 | 25.5 | 536.6 | 404.9 |
| 25 | Alabama | 2017 | SEC | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 37.1 | 11.9 | 444.1 | 260.4 |
| 26 | Wisconsin | 2017 | BIG TEN | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 33.8 | 13.9 | 401.5 | 262.1 |
| 27 | Florida State | 2014 | ACC | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 33.7 | 25.6 | 441.2 | 399.4 |
| 28 | Michigan State | 2013 | BIG TEN | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 29.4 | 13.2 | 389.6 | 254.9 |
| 29 | Alabama | 2012 | SEC | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 38.7 | 10.9 | 445.4 | 252.5 |
| 30 | LSU | 2011 | SEC | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 35.7 | 11.3 | 358.3 | 262.7 |
| 31 | Texas | 2009 | BIG 12 | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 39.3 | 16.7 | 421.9 | 256.0 |
| 32 | Florida | 2009 | SEC | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 35.9 | 12.4 | 458.4 | 254.5 |
| 33 | Florida | 2008 | SEC | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 43.6 | 12.9 | 447.0 | 285.8 |
| 34 | Florida | 2006 | SEC | 13 | 1 | 92.9% | 29.7 | 13.5 | 398.3 | 256.9 |
| 35 | Ole Miss | 2025 | SEC | 13 | 2 | 86.7% | 36.9 | 21.1 | 490.1 | 348.1 |
| 36 | Oregon | 2025 | BIG TEN | 13 | 2 | 86.7% | 36.9 | 17.9 | 452.2 | 274.8 |
| 37 | TCU | 2022 | BIG 12 | 13 | 2 | 86.7% | 38.8 | 29.0 | 455.0 | 408.1 |
| 38 | Alabama | 2021 | SEC | 13 | 2 | 86.7% | 39.9 | 20.1 | 488.2 | 302.8 |
| 39 | Georgia | 2017 | SEC | 13 | 2 | 86.7% | 35.4 | 16.4 | 435.3 | 295.0 |
| 40 | Miami | 2025 | ACC | 13 | 3 | 81.3% | 30.9 | 14.8 | 404.9 | 294.2 |
| 41 | Texas | 2024 | SEC | 13 | 3 | 81.3% | 33.0 | 15.3 | 437.8 | 284.1 |
| 42 | Penn State | 2024 | BIG TEN | 13 | 3 | 81.3% | 33.1 | 16.5 | 430.3 | 295.1 |
| 43 | Ohio State | 2012 | BIG TEN | 12 | 0 | 100.0% | 37.2 | 22.8 | 429.4 | 362.0 |
| 44 | Ohio State | 2015 | BIG TEN | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | 35.7 | 15.1 | 437.8 | 312.0 |
| 45 | TCU | 2014 | BIG 12 | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | 46.5 | 19.0 | 537.0 | 344.3 |
| 46 | Oklahoma State | 2011 | BIG 12 | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | 48.7 | 26.8 | 551.3 | 458.6 |
| 47 | Alabama | 2011 | SEC | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | 34.8 | 8.2 | 431.2 | 185.5 |
| 48 | Ohio State | 2010 | BIG TEN | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | 38.8 | 14.3 | 450.6 | 263.2 |
| 49 | Texas | 2008 | BIG 12 | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | 42.4 | 18.8 | 476.1 | 346.4 |
| 50 | Kansas | 2007 | BIG 12 | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | 42.8 | 16.4 | 460.8 | 319.5 |
| 51 | Ohio State | 2006 | BIG TEN | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | 34.6 | 12.8 | 386.1 | 266.3 |
| 52 | Wisconsin | 2006 | BIG TEN | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | 29.2 | 12.1 | 373.8 | 236.3 |
| 53 | Ohio State | 2025 | BIG TEN | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 33.4 | 9.3 | 423.0 | 219.1 |
| 54 | BYU | 2025 | BIG 12 | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 31.4 | 19.1 | 400.3 | 332.6 |
| 55 | Texas Tech | 2025 | BIG 12 | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 39.4 | 11.8 | 461.6 | 258.0 |
| 56 | Georgia | 2025 | SEC | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 32.1 | 17.6 | 402.6 | 298.1 |
| 57 | Alabama | 2023 | SEC | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 34.0 | 19.0 | 393.1 | 316.0 |
| 58 | Texas | 2023 | BIG 12 | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 35.8 | 18.9 | 477.5 | 337.6 |
| 59 | Michigan | 2021 | BIG TEN | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 35.8 | 17.4 | 443.1 | 330.9 |
| 60 | Baylor | 2021 | BIG 12 | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 31.6 | 18.3 | 422.4 | 345.8 |
| 61 | Oklahoma State | 2021 | BIG 12 | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 31.1 | 18.1 | 417.4 | 293.4 |
| 62 | Georgia | 2019 | SEC | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 30.8 | 12.6 | 408.1 | 275.8 |
| 63 | Oklahoma | 2019 | BIG 12 | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 42.1 | 27.3 | 537.2 | 356.4 |
| 64 | Oklahoma | 2018 | BIG 12 | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 48.4 | 33.3 | 570.8 | 453.7 |
| 65 | Ohio State | 2017 | BIG TEN | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 41.1 | 19.0 | 506.0 | 300.9 |
| 66 | Oklahoma | 2017 | BIG 12 | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 45.1 | 27.1 | 579.6 | 394.9 |
| 67 | Clemson | 2017 | ACC | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 33.3 | 13.6 | 429.6 | 276.7 |
| 68 | Michigan State | 2015 | BIG TEN | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 29.8 | 21.7 | 389.6 | 350.6 |
| 69 | Iowa | 2015 | BIG TEN | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 30.9 | 20.4 | 389.1 | 342.5 |
| 70 | Alabama | 2014 | SEC | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 36.9 | 18.4 | 485.2 | 330.8 |
| 71 | Missouri | 2013 | SEC | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 39.1 | 23.1 | 491.6 | 419.3 |
| 72 | Ohio State | 2013 | BIG TEN | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 45.5 | 22.6 | 513.9 | 378.4 |
| 73 | Auburn | 2013 | SEC | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 39.5 | 24.7 | 503.0 | 420.9 |
| 74 | Georgia | 2012 | SEC | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 37.8 | 19.6 | 468.8 | 360.6 |
| 75 | Florida State | 2012 | ACC | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 39.3 | 14.7 | 471.9 | 254.2 |
| 76 | Oklahoma | 2010 | BIG 12 | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 37.2 | 21.8 | 485.9 | 362.8 |
| 77 | Oklahoma | 2008 | BIG 12 | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 51.1 | 24.5 | 550.6 | 369.8 |
| 78 | Alabama | 2008 | SEC | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 30.1 | 14.3 | 354.6 | 264.4 |
| 79 | LSU | 2007 | SEC | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 38.6 | 19.9 | 442.9 | 289.5 |
| 80 | Missouri | 2007 | BIG 12 | 12 | 2 | 85.7% | 39.9 | 23.3 | 493.3 | 374.5 |
| 81 | Utah | 2025 | BIG 12 | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 41.3 | 18.9 | 483.2 | 357.9 |
| 82 | Texas A&M | 2025 | SEC | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 33.8 | 21.0 | 444.8 | 307.4 |
| 83 | Indiana | 2024 | BIG TEN | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 41.3 | 15.6 | 427.5 | 256.3 |
| 84 | BYU | 2024 | BIG 12 | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 31.2 | 19.6 | 388.9 | 310.0 |
| 85 | Ohio State | 2023 | BIG TEN | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 30.5 | 11.2 | 407.9 | 265.5 |
| 86 | Missouri | 2023 | SEC | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 32.5 | 20.8 | 432.9 | 335.9 |
| 87 | Ole Miss | 2023 | SEC | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 35.1 | 22.5 | 462.1 | 382.5 |
| 88 | Ohio State | 2022 | BIG TEN | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 44.2 | 21.0 | 490.7 | 321.5 |
| 89 | Penn State | 2022 | BIG TEN | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 35.8 | 18.2 | 433.6 | 323.5 |
| 90 | Alabama | 2022 | SEC | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 41.1 | 18.2 | 477.2 | 318.2 |
| 91 | Tennessee | 2022 | SEC | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 46.1 | 22.8 | 525.5 | 405.3 |
| 92 | Ohio State | 2021 | BIG TEN | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 45.7 | 22.8 | 561.2 | 374.0 |
| 93 | Michigan State | 2021 | BIG TEN | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 31.8 | 25.3 | 429.3 | 441.6 |
| 94 | Oklahoma | 2021 | BIG 12 | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 39.1 | 25.8 | 451.0 | 390.8 |
| 95 | Minnesota | 2019 | BIG TEN | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 34.1 | 22.5 | 432.0 | 306.5 |
| 96 | Penn State | 2019 | BIG TEN | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 35.8 | 16.0 | 412.2 | 346.5 |
| 97 | Alabama | 2019 | SEC | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 47.2 | 18.6 | 510.8 | 324.4 |
| 98 | Florida | 2019 | SEC | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 33.2 | 15.5 | 430.7 | 304.8 |
| 99 | Penn State | 2017 | BIG TEN | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 41.1 | 16.5 | 460.3 | 329.5 |
| 100 | Ohio State | 2016 | BIG TEN | 11 | 2 | 84.6% | 39.4 | 15.5 | 459.2 | 296.8 |
Who is outperforming repeatable play?
Expected record, luck and historical gapsHow deep is each conference?
Conference and era distributions