Expected Points Added measures how much a play changes a team's expected scoring value.
EPA & DRIVE
RANKINGS
Compare every FBS team by play value, consistency, possession efficiency and game situation. National and conference context update together.
EPA Margin / Play
Offensive EPA per play minus EPA allowed per play.
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Analytics Glossary
Plain-language definitions for every category on the EPA & Drive Rankings board.
The share of plays that meet the stated success standard for that metric.
A possession that reaches the opponent's 40-yard line or scores from beyond it.
A team's position relative to all qualified FBS teams, adjusted so a higher percentile is always better.
Overall6 METRICS
Offensive EPA per play minus EPA allowed per play.
HIGHER RANKS BETTEROffensive points per drive minus points allowed per drive.
HIGHER RANKS BETTEROffensive success rate minus opponent success rate.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERAverage offensive starting field position minus the opponent average.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERTeam quality drives divided by all quality drives in its games.
HIGHER RANKS BETTEROpponent-adjusted offensive efficiency minus opponent-adjusted EPA allowed.
HIGHER RANKS BETTEROffense — Overall10 METRICS
Total expected points added across qualifying offensive plays.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERTotal qualifying offensive plays in the season sample.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERAverage expected points added by the offense on each qualifying play.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERPass attempts, sacks and quarterback scrambles in the qualifying play sample.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERShare of offensive plays meeting the qualifying success standard.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERAverage EPA generated on successful offensive plays.
HIGHER RANKS BETTEROffensive points scored per qualifying possession.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERAverage yards from the offense's own goal line when a drive begins.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERShare of possessions that reach the opponent's 40-yard line or score from beyond it.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERAverage points scored on drives that create a scoring opportunity.
HIGHER RANKS BETTEROffense — Passing6 METRICS
Targeted pass attempts, excluding sacks and scrambles.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERRecorded passing yards at the catch point divided by targeted attempts.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERRecorded yards after catch per completed pass.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERTotal expected points added on qualifying passing plays.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERExpected points added per qualifying passing play or dropback.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERRecorded quarterback hurries plus sacks divided by total dropbacks; lower is better.
LOWER RANKS BETTEROffense — Rushing7 METRICS
Estimated qualifying rushing plays in the verified advanced-stat sample.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERShare of qualifying rushing plays meeting the success standard.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERShare of qualifying rushes gaining at least 10 yards.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERAverage EPA generated on successful rushing plays.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERTotal expected points added on qualifying rushing plays.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERExpected points added per qualifying rushing play.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERActual rush rate minus the expected rate for down, distance and game state.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERSacks & Scrambles6 METRICS
Quarterback sacks taken; lower is better.
LOWER RANKS BETTERTotal expected points added or lost on sacks.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERNon-sack quarterback rush attempts identified from the qualifying play log.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERShare of total dropbacks that end in an identified non-sack quarterback scramble.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERTotal expected points added on identified non-sack quarterback rushes.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERSack EPA plus identified quarterback-rush EPA.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERDefense7 METRICS
Average EPA created by opposing offenses; lower is better.
LOWER RANKS BETTEROpponent EPA on passing plays; lower is better.
LOWER RANKS BETTEROpponent EPA on rushing plays; lower is better.
LOWER RANKS BETTERShare of opponent plays that succeed; lower is better.
LOWER RANKS BETTERAverage EPA conceded on successful opponent plays; lower is better.
LOWER RANKS BETTEROpponent offensive points per qualifying possession; lower is better.
LOWER RANKS BETTERAverage yards from an opponent's own goal line at drive start; lower is better.
LOWER RANKS BETTERSituational11 METRICS
Average offensive EPA on first- and second-down plays.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERAverage offensive EPA on third- and fourth-down plays.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERShare of qualifying offensive plays with EPA above zero.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERShare gaining 50% of needed yards on first down, 70% on second, and 100% on third or fourth.
HIGHER RANKS BETTEROffensive EPA in favorable down-and-distance situations.
HIGHER RANKS BETTEROffensive EPA when down and distance strongly suggest a pass.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERSuccess rate in favorable down-and-distance situations.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERSuccess rate in likely passing situations.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERPoints scored after advancing inside the opponent's 40-yard line.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERConversion rate in short-yardage rushing situations.
HIGHER RANKS BETTERShare of opponent runs stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
HIGHER RANKS BETTER