Roster expectations
← ALL METRICSSTATTAKE PROPRIETARY METRIC • V1.0-provisional
Talent ROI
Production above or below the output expected from roster talent, experience and returning production.
Positive / negativeNATURAL SCALEPENDING
DESIGNED VISUAL METHOD
VERIFIED DATA ONLYRecruiting ROI Bubble Map
PRIMARY VIEW • ROI BUBBLES
Compare roster expectation with on-field output and draft production.
- Roster talent
- On-field output
- NFL production
FORMAT STACKTalent-production bubble chart • Residual plot • Development slopegraph
Separate observed production from projected player value.PUBLIC METHODOLOGY
PROPRIETARY MODELWhat it considers
On-field production
Experience
Returning and transfer impact
Compares actual team output with the level expected from the roster and its available experience. Exact weighting, calibration and model code remain private.
2026 NATIONAL BOARD
PROVISIONALCurrent leaderboard
| RK | TEAM | TALENT ROI | STATUS | SAMPLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Eastern Michigan | +15.9 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 2 |  UNLV | +15.5 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 3 |  Hawai'i | +14.1 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 4 |  Sacramento State | +13.3 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 5 |  Syracuse | +8.6 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 6 |  Jacksonville State | +6.1 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 7 |  New Mexico State | +5.0 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 8 |  Coastal Carolina | +2.3 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 9 |  Memphis | -0.3 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 10 |  Miami | -1.0 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 11 |  San José State | -1.6 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 12 |  North Dakota State | -2.5 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 13 |  Houston | -4.7 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 14 |  Pittsburgh | -6.5 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 15 |  USC | -9.1 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 16 |  Wake Forest | -9.9 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 17 |  Delaware | -13.9 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 18 |  Texas Tech | -14.8 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |
| 19 |  Oregon | -23.6 | PROVISIONAL | 3 |